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Saturday, February 9, 2013

Fengshui: How the Water Snake year will be?


THE new energies of the Year of the Water Snake slithered in at 12.15am on Feb 4, replacing the tumultous zeal of the Water Dragon.

Will the year be better? More importantly, are there wealth opportunities and will the tides of change bring about better developments?

Joey Yap, the founder, CEO and master trainer of the Mastery Academy of Chinese Metaphysics says that globally, problems will not dissolve in 2013. In fact, it will be prolonged to 2014.

“When we look at the Bazi chart for the Water Snake year, the prominent elements this year are wood, metal and fire. There is especially a lot of wood, which is likened to a big tree.

“The wood is like a small knife. Hence the year is defined as a small knife cutting a big tree,” says Yap.

As the Water Snake will continue to see a lot of volatility, Yap says the strategy of investment should be skewed towards trading. Hence, do not be so defensive and start investing!

Unlike most people who are not calling outright buys on Malaysia, Yap is especially positive about Malaysia's prospects, and sees the country doing relatively well compared with other countries.

“Malaysia has the presence of the growth star, so I feel Malaysia is actually going to do better despite what everyone says. People are willing to take more risk in Malaysia and Singapore. You will be surprised. Malaysia will be better this year than last.

Yap: ‘Despite the fears people have about the stability situation here, investments into the country will continue to pour in.’ Yap: ‘Despite the fears people have about the stability situation here, investments into the country will continue to pour in.’
 
He adds that for Malaysia, the wealth stars appears in April, July and October. There will be a total of four wealth stars this year. During this period, there will be an influx of wealth and business. Hence for Malaysia, Yap also favours the second half of the year compared with the first half of the year.

Furthermore, a very pleasant development is that money flows out of China, and comes into Malaysia! With Star 3, which is the Fighting Star governing China, people will be moving their money out of China into Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore and its ultimate destination, Australia.

Kenny Hoo, founder and chief researcher of Good Feng Shui Geomantic Research says that the Year of The Water Snake is the year of correction. It is signified by changes, be it new policies, new systems and new guidelines. He says people may feel uncomfortable because they will not be able to do things the same old way. It can be painful even.

“In Malaysia especially, the first half will be marked by transition. There will be uncertainty, there be repackaging and restructuring.

“We will see new products and new services coming onstream. After July, we can expect to see major improvement, whether it's in the economy and the stockmarket. In fact, the uptrend may be rather exponential,” says Hoo.

Meanwhile, Asian brokerage and investment group CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets earlier this week launched its 19th annual CLSA Feng Shui Index, which is a tongue-in-cheek look at what the celestial signs suggests is in store for stock market indexes, key sectors and each of the 12 Chinese zodiac signs during this Year of the Black Water Snake.

Based on the Fengshui index, it would appear that equity markets perform better in the first half, and experience more volatile trade in the second half. Overall, the index will finish on positive territory by year end. The big drop in the market is likely to happen in the August to September period.


The United States

So what does the analogy of the small knife cutting the big tree mean, especially for the United States, the world's biggest economy?

Hoo: ‘After July, we can expect to see major improvement, whether it’s in the economy and the stockmarket.’ Hoo: ‘After July, we can expect to see major improvement, whether it’s in the economy and the stockmarket.’

“In America, it has a debt problem. It is unable to settle this debt. The wood element is wealth. So the abundance of wood represents that it cannot control money. When wealth is too strong and the self is weak, this means you cannot control your wealth.

“So it is like a rich house with a poor person. That is the image of how America looks like. It is a rich country but the people are poor,” says Yap.

He points out that Star 7, which is the star of injury, bloodshed and fights is present in the United States this year.

“So the US will be mired in shootings and security issues. Security becomes a major problem in the United States. That affects business negatively. Star 7 is also a star of fear.

People in America are afraid of spending. So they stop spending their money, meaning the economy is not going to move, it's going to contract. In America, they may be talking about boosting this and that, but it's all talk and no action,” says Yap.

Nonetheless, the fortunes of America will not be uniformly in the doldrums as Star 7 is a metal star which runs all the way until July before its energies start to dissipate.

“So you will feel the effects in the first half of the year, but it gets better until the November period. Then the energies will come back in the beginning of 2014,” says Yap.

So the United States will think it is recovering, but later on discover that the small knife cannot cut a big tree, so this illusion of a recovery disperses. Hence they become disillusioned,” feels Yap.

In the United States, it is an issue of people losing confidence in their politicians. They do not see light at the end of the tunnel.

Hoo also feels that America will not see much progress.

China

As the opposite of the West is the East, the opposite of the United States is China. When the United States is not doing well, China will do well.

In China, there is Star 3, which represents growth. The problem with Star 3 is that it is a Fighting Star. There is fight for power.

The problem in China is about who is in control. There is a lot of corruption. Star 3 is also a star of corruption.

There will be a lot of scandals, with people in power losing their grip, parties being divided two to three-folds,” says Yap.

Yap adds that the 3 Killings Star is also present in China. With Star 3 being a wood star, and wood-based industries include manufacturing and production, manufacturing will slow down. Thus the picture painted is the 3 Killings Star killing Star 3.

“It's like throwing strong cyanide down to the plants. So growth will slow down in China,” says Yap.

Europe

Now, in the middle of China and the United States is the Middle East and Europe. This area is governed by Star 5. Star 5 is a star of change and renewal. Picture the entrance of a new king.

Yap foresees Europe continuing to remain on a standstill with no improvement. Everyone continues to look inward.

“Hence wars in the Middle East get worse. There will also be a dose of natural disasters. People will be divided. This poison will spread to Europe, and hence there will be change,”

“Germany has been the one which has been in power, but it is now losing its grip. It will affect its stability. The 5 Yellow star is present in the entire eurozone area. This star does not represent growth.

He says Germany is focusing very much on its internal issues. Correcting its own scandals, throwing out the rubbish. “They are looking inward this year.”

Meanwhile, in France, it is governed by the Horse animal sign.

“This year, the Horse has nobility stars. Thus despite all its issues, it will get its act together. The tides turn to its favour.

Malaysia

With all the bad stars roiling across the major economies, is there any bright spot at all?

Yes, and fortunately for us, it is right here in SouthEast Asia!

“South-East Asia is governed by Star 4, which is a star of growth. Star 4's wood element is able to control and counter the 5 Yellow earth star. Furthermore, Malaysia is born in the Year of The Rooster. The combination of the Rooster with the Snake year is a good one. So as a comparison to the whole world, South-East Asia is doing well, and Malaysia will grow,” says Yap.

“We are in a region where there is a growth star. Despite us having the small knife cutting the big tree. We don't have big problems. So people will turn to South-East Asia for manufacturing or business prospects. Despite the fears people have about the stability situation here, investments into the country will continue to pour in. China will be bringing more money here,” says Yap.

Hoo agrees. He says that southern countries do well.

“There will be clashes in the first six months, but things get a lot more smoother and stable in the second half.
Hence my strategy will be for investors to start accumulating now and sell during the second half,” says Hoo.

Zeroing in on Malaysia, Yap says the Malaysian Bazi chart has the animal signs of Monkey, Rooster and Boar, which spells a positive start for the snake.

As Malaysia has a Wood Day Master, this shows that wood-based industries will do well. Wood-based industries include the timber, furniture, healthcare, medicine, herbs and anything which has anything to do with improving health. Hence the sports sector will also do well. Education, speaking, teaching and training sectors will also do well.

The other element that is expected to do relatively well this year is the Fire element.

For Malaysia though, the fire is rather muted. In Malaysia, the fire sector includes sectors such as oil and gas, palm oil and the airlines. He does, however, foresee a challenging time for airlines.

Hoo says that the fire sectors such as telecommunications, oil and gas and electronics will be facing new competition and new guidelines.

As for the property sector, which is defined by earth, there is no clash with the other elements. Growth is, however, slow, as the earth element is not in abundance this year.

“So you will need to look at the developers and property launches. If they are launching their ready product this year to be sold, it won't be too good. If they are launching their products this year to be sold in the next few years, then it is ok. Property is still a good long-term bet,” says Yap.

Thus, Yap will not advise investors to buy properties for flipping purposes. Buying for long-term investments or for cashflow will yield much better rewards.

On this note, Yap especially sees potential in commercial properties based on the formation of the water elements surrounding earth in the Bazi chart.

“Commercial properties will be snapped up fast as compared with residential properties. Earth is property. Earth controlling water is equal to money,” says Yap.

The growth star is also slowly moving towards Rawang. That will eventually be the growth property hub for Malaysia.

For this year though, the hot spots for property are north and south, which is Penang and Johor.

The Klang Valley is afflicted by the 5 Yellow star this year. While 5 Yellow does not represent growth, it is always a change for the better.

Thus for long-term purposes, Yap advocates buying property in the Klang Valley.

Meanwhile, Yap sees the banking sector being weaker this year. This is because there is too much wood element this year. This wood represents a lot of money, however, there are no takers. The question to ask is why are the banks not lending?

“The earth element is there. There is too much regulation, stopping the banks from doing business. It is like when you want to do something, and your mum is stopping you and giving you warnings. This is what happening in the banking industry. Too much earth producing metal, is like too much advice that is not necessary and will not yield an efficient result.”

By TEE LIN SAY linsay@thestar.com.my

CLSA: Better year ahead



WHILE the past five snake years have not particularly been great, this year is envisaged to be better, according to one Asian brokerage and investment group.

CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets launched earlier this week its 19th annual CLSA Feng Shui Index a tongue-in-cheek look at what the celestial signs suggest is in store for Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index, key sectors and markets, world leaders and celebrities, and each of the 12 Chinese zodiac signs during this Year of the Black Water Snake.

According to CLSA, the past five Snake years back to the Water Snake of 1953 were not encouraging.

“However, there are signs that this year's beast will be better behaved: All five of the basic elements or energies are present in the fortune charts (including the market-driver Fire!); and the annual Flying Star energies all return to their “home” sectors for the first time in nine years,” it says in a statement.

CLSA points out that in only one year did markets end the year convincingly above their opening and the size of the drops of the most recent three has been growing ever worse.

As befits “skin-shedders”, Snake years are marked by major transformation and change and sometimes great upheaval: Pearl Harbour (1941), Twin Towers (2001), Tiananmen (1989), Fall of the Wall (1989), Great Depression (1929), recessions (1953, 2001), revolutions (1917, 1989), and major conflicts (1941, 1965), it says.

Meanwhile, at a press conference in Hong Kong, Mariana Kou, a CLSA research analyst and self-proclaimed feng shui master, says the Water Snake year will see the Hong Kong's stock market perform better compared to last year.

“We see a resource-led slow burn run-up for the Hang Seng Index from the second quarter. As it builds, risk flicks on', resulting in the second half being more volatile, but there are opportunities,” Kou was quoted as saying in China Daily.

The paper reported her as saying that the first-half rally will come to a sudden end in August, which seems to be “double trouble” because the crucial Fire element dies away in the month, Earth falls, Metal overshoots and Water puts a dampener on prospects.

In terms of sectors, CLSA expects the best performances from those traditionally associated with Metal such as broking and financials and also Water like gaming and logistics.

As for the zodiac signs, Roosters, Cows and Dogs look set to be this year's “grinners”, whereas Pigs, Tigers, Sheep and Snakes may need all the pluck they can muster.


CLSA's prediction for the 12 animal signs


Tiger
It may well feel like a jungle out there this year for you Striped Types, what with all the snipes, gripes and swipes. To get you through, take your cue from the Fab Four over the Stones and Let It Be. (You can always Let It Bleed later). And read the fineprint. As the chef said to the young apprentice with a sniff: This stew's well past.'

Rabbit
Amid machinations infernal, hop springs eternal - and with good cause in your case, Bunnies. The outlook may not be quite 24-carrot just yet, but it's still leaps and bounds ahead of what you've been catching of late. And there'll be high-fiving all round when the hooves of next year's fiery Horse hit the horizon.

Dragon
The good news? Your fortune's far flasher than it was for last year. The bad news? That's probably not saying a lot, eh? We jest. Well, jest a bit. A fascinating thing, relativity - all the more so if you've got the foggiest notion of the theory behind it. Best left to the Einsteins, no doubt. Quark, strangeness and charm indeed.

Snake
It just doesn't seem right, eh? It's your year, but instead of three cheers you're more likely to cop one over the ear. It's just the feng shui of the world. So moan on your own or take it in your slide. Think of it as a great opportunity to test your mettle. And, as the doctor said to the boy who'd swallowed another marble: This too shall pass.'

Horse
Whoa! What's not to like? It's no laydown whinny-winner, but there's neigh point in looking about for trouble. Besides which, a mirror will soon show what's most likely to trip you up this year. Don't be an ass! Reload that ever-reliable Horse sense, get your head in the right place and see how easily “ordinary” becomes “oat-standing”.

Sheep
Jeepers Sheepsters, we feel your pain', as Big Bill was wont to coo in that way that you almost believed him. Being dogged by seven surly stars is no fun. But banish the bleatin' and you'll soon have the fleas beaten. And as the teacher said encouragingly to the boy struggling to unravel an unruly sentence: This too shall parse.'

Monkey
From where we're standing, it doesn't look as if it would take much to nudge that “ssso-so” up into “Sweet Street” territory or even higher up da vine. Sure, you've got seven ssso-and-ssso skunks to keep an eye on, but just look at the names who've got your back! Get your tail into gear, and razzle-dazzle with the old Monkey magic.

Rooster
As Family Guy's Peter Griffin would put it (ad nauseam): Bb- b-bird, bird, bird, b-bird's the word . . . ' You Roosters surely must be getting sick of this chicken run of spanking good luck you've been having? Wouldn't like to toss a few crumbs our way? Oh well, never mind. Now, what is it they make feather-dusters from . .
 .
Dog
Talk about a turnaround story! If only we could have bought lots of lots of you lot last year, when you were totally out in the dog house and on the cold, wet nose. Now you're baaark! And you're practically leader of the zodiac pack. Howl lovely to see. Suddenly, Iggy Pop almost makes sense: I just wanna be your dawwg . . . ' Woof!

Pig
It's more than a boar knowing some unseen, all-powerful presence is tracking your every move - and that's just Google. You poor Porkers have the Tai Sui on your tails as well. Snout to do but your best: Stuck pigs squeal and quit; stoic pigs deal with it. As the dentist said to the boy with the makings of an abcess. This tooth shall pus.'

Rat
Leaving aside the caveat of the best-laid plans' and all that, your fortune is looking well on the bright side of “average” - indeed within a whisker of “wonderful” for many, especially Water Rats. That said (and twitch his own of course), use the old Mouse nous and go easy on the squeaks and squeals of delight. Gets up a few noses.

Cow
How's “wow” sound, Cows? That's the word for the Herd once the Snake's on the make. Content is king, as a bullish Bill Gates argued, and there should be few more contented than you mob come the close, given the crme de la crme outlook. No call for grabbing bulls by horns - simply take the year by the ears and life as it comes

Friday, February 8, 2013

Japan's smear campaign, trade bards with China over radar incident near disputed isles

Beijing accused Tokyo Thursday of mounting a smear campaign after Japan said a Chinese frigate had locked its weapons-targeting radar on a Japanese warship in a “threat of force.”

 Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force destroyer Yuudachi is seen in this undated handout photo released by Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force and obtained by Reuters on February 5, 2013. A Chinese vessel pointed a type of radar normally used to help guide missiles at a Japanese navy ship near disputed East China Sea islets, prompting the Japanese government to lodge a protest with China. Image by: HANDOUT / REUTERS

The world’s second- and third-largest economies are at loggerheads over uninhabited Japanese-controlled islands in the East China Sea, known as Senkaku in Tokyo and Diaoyu by Beijing, which claims them.

The radar incident, which Japan said happened last week, marked the first time the two nations’ navies have locked horns in a dispute that has some commentators warning about a possible armed conflict.

Asked to respond to Japanese Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera’s description of the radar targeting as a “threat of force”, Beijing foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said: “Recently Japan has been hyping up crisis and deliberately creating tension to smear China’s image.

“This move is counter to the improvement of relations,” she told a regular briefing.

“The current problem is not China being assertive but about Japanese ships’ and airplanes’ repeated illegal activities in the airspace and waters of the Diaoyu islands, which undermine China’s territorial sovereignty.”

The long-running row over the islands intensified in September when Tokyo nationalised part of the chain, triggering fury in Beijing and huge anti-Japan demonstrations across China.

Beijing has repeatedly sent ships and aircraft near the islands and both sides have scrambled fighter jets, though there have been no clashes.
The Chinese Defense Ministry has denied that a Chinese navy vessel aimed weapon-targeting radar at a Japanese navy ship in the East China Sea. It’s also called on Japan to stop violating China’s territorial sovereignty.



The Ministry says the vessel was conducting normal training on January 30th, when it detected a Japanese naval ship following it. The Chinese vessel used normal radar to monitor, contrary to Japanese claims.

The Chinese Foreign Ministry also says Japan is provoking tension over the Diaoyu islands by intentionally stirring up a crisis. It says Japan is continuously sending its ships and aircraft into the waters and airspace around the Diaoyu Islands to carry out illegal activities.

China and Japan engaged on Friday in a fresh round of invective over military movements near a disputed group of uninhabited islands, fueling tensions that for months have bedevilled relations between the two major Asian powers.

China’s defense ministry rejected a Japanese allegation that a naval vessel had aimed a weapons-targeting radar at a Japanese military ship in the East China Sea, its first comment on the week-old incident. It said Japan’s intrusive tracking of Chinese vessels was the “root cause” of the renewed tension.

A Japanese official on Friday dismissed the Chinese explanation for the Jan 30 incident. He said Beijing’s actions could precipitate a dangerous situation in waters around the islets, known as Diaoyu in China and Senkaku in Japan, believed to be rich in oil and gas.

China’s defense ministry, in a faxed statement issued late on Thursday, said Japan’s remarks “do not match the facts”. The Chinese ship’s radar, it said, had maintained regular alerting operations and “did not use fire control radar.”

The ministry said the Chinese ship was tracked by a Japanese destroyer during routine training exercises. Fire control radar pinpoints the location of a target for missiles or shells and its use can be considered a step short of actual firing.

Japan, it said, had recently “made irresponsible remarks that hyped up the so-called ‘China threat’, recklessly created tension and misled international public opinion.

“In recent years, Japanese warships and airplanes have often conducted long periods of close-range tracking and surveillance of China’s naval ships and airplanes. This is the root cause of air and maritime security issues between China and Japan.”

In Tokyo, Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga told a news conference on Friday: “We cannot accept China’s explanation.”

Japan’s allegations, he said, had been “a result of our defense ministry’s careful and detailed analysis. We urge China to take sincere measures to prevent dangerous actions which could cause a contingency situation.”

Defense Minister Itsunori Onodera said this week that the incident could have become very dangerous very quickly, and that use of the radar could be seen as a threat of military force under U.N. rules.

Hopes have been rising in recent weeks for a thaw in ties after months of tension, sparked, in part, by Japan’s nationalisation of three of the privately owned islets last September.

Fears that encounters between aircraft and ships could degenerate into an accidental clash have given impetus to efforts to improve links, including a possible summit between Abe and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, who takes over as head of state in March.

China’s premier-in-waiting Li Keqiang, meanwhile, urged marine surveillance staff on Thursday to intensify law enforcement in China’s sea territories, according to the official Xinhua news agency.

“Supervising and governing seas under the jurisdiction of China is the main responsibility of Chinese marine surveillance staff,” Li, who is expected to take over as China’s premier next month, was quoted as saying.

It is believed the island chain—which is also claimed by Taiwan (a province of China)

Sources: AFP/Japan Todayh/Reauters/CCTV

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Thursday, February 7, 2013

Would the 3 Japanese wise men invited by China help ties with Japan?

SINCE last month, tensions over the disputed islands in the East China Sea, known as Diaoyu to China and Senkaku to Japan, have noticeably declined, largely as a result of conciliatory words and actions by Japanese political figures visiting China.

The first was by Yukio Hatoyama of the opposition Democratic Party of Japan, who was prime minister in 2009-2010 and who had advocated closer ties with China while in office. Hatoyama took issue with Japan's position of denying that there was a territorial dispute, saying "if you look at history, there is a dispute".

The former leader also visited a memorial in Nanjing honouring those who were killed in 1937 and apologised for "the crimes that Japanese soldiers committed during wartime".

Hatoyama's visit was widely publicised in the Chinese media, which published pictures of him and his wife at the Nanjing Massacre Memorial bowing in silent tribute to the dead.

The normally nationalistic Chinese newspaper Global Times declared editorially: "Hatoyama's words and deeds these days show that in spite of the tough environment, forces which are friendly to China have not disappeared."

Shortly after Hatoyama's departure from China, Natsuo Yamaguchi, leader of the New Komeito Party -- a coalition partner of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party -- arrived in China, carrying with him a letter from Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for Xi Jinping, the new leader of the Communist Party of China.

Yamaguchi was received by Xi on Jan 25, and, aside from passing over the letter from the prime minister, he also suggested that the territorial dispute be shelved for now and to let future generations deal with the issue.

Xi no doubt knew that the Japanese politician was paraphrasing the late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping who, while visiting Tokyo in 1978, famously said, "Our generation is not wise enough to find common language on this question. Our next generation will certainly be wiser. They will certainly find a solution acceptable to all."

Alas, no solution is yet in sight and the best policy is to put the dispute back on the shelf.

Yamaguchi also suggested a summit meeting between Abe and Xi, and the Chinese leader responded that he would consider it seriously if there was a "proper environment".

Xi also said that China wanted to promote a "strategic relationship of mutual benefit" with Japan.

Soon, a third influential Japanese political figure arrived, another former prime minister, Tomiichi Murayama, whose visit, like the other two, contributed to the establishment of an improved environment.

It was Murayama who, while in power, issued an apology on historical issues that was widely hailed in Asia.

The visits by these three Japanese figures have contributed to a lowering of tensions, making it possible to envisage a thaw in China-Japan relations.

What is significant is that these three men were all invited by Beijing, which of course had a good idea of what they were likely to say and do. That is to say, without denigrating their contributions to the lessening of the impasse, the improved atmosphere of the last few weeks was largely the result of initiatives taken by China.

Japan, too, clearly wants to keep tensions low. Abe has now made it clear that he endorses the Murayama's statement, although there is still some talk of making a new statement "suitable to the 21st century". But there is unlikely to be any backtracking.

It is imperative at this stage that both Japan and China recognise the delicate political environment in the other's country. Each should rein in its own aggressive nationalistic forces.

It is also necessary for each side not to say or do anything that may be humiliating or embarrassing to the other side. Threatening to fire "warning shots", for example, is not helpful.

A lot of damage has been done to China-Japan relations. It will take time for the relationship to heal.

When Abe became prime minister for the first time in 2006, he went to China on his first overseas visit to mend relations damaged during the premiership of Junichiro Koizumi, who insisted on visiting the Yasukuni Shrine each year.

This led to a dramatic improvement in relations, with Premier Wen Jiabao making an "ice-melting" visit to Japan in 2007, followed by a presidential visit by Hu Jintao the following year.

Another China-Japan summit will be indispensable if ties are to be rebuilt.

This, however, cannot take place until the necessary groundwork has been laid. Both sides will have to work hard at this. And flexibility should be the watchword.

The row over the disputed islets, known as the Senkaku in Japan and the Diaoyu in China, are seen in this file handout photograph taken on a marine surveillance plane B-3837 on December 13, 2012, and provided by the State Oceanic Administration of People's Republic of China. A long-simmering row over the East China Sea islands, has noticeably declined, largely as a result of conciliatory words and actions by Japanese political figures visiting China. Reuters pic 

By Frank Ching New Straits Times

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