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Saturday, March 3, 2012

See opportunities in adversity


ON YOUR OWN By TAN THIAM HOCK

I HAVE been having fun. Good fun. Five trips in the last 30 days. Holidays, business meetings, visiting my kids and watching the Il Divo concert in Jakarta with my wife. So my apologies to the readers who wrote in and have not received any reply from me.

One of my trips was to visit our supplier in Bangkok. I was pleasantly surprised when he said that his company did very well last year despite the tsunami and earthquake in Japan and the three-month flooding of Bangkok. He picked up additional Japanese customers who lost their regular suppliers because of the tsunami. Luckily for him, his factory and surroundings were not flooded, so again he picked up new customers.

No businessmen can predict how natural disasters will affect their business. There is a major element of luck. Good luck or bad luck.

I was also amazed that his company has been growing steadily through the years of continuous political turmoil in Thailand, frequent change of governments, street demonstrations, riots and street bombings. Still, it is business as usual. Especially for tourism. Their airport was crowded and immigration was horrendous. In comparison, the KLIA felt like a ghost town.

Over dinner, he explained that except for southern Thailand, the rest of the country has a homogenous society. No racial or religious issues. Only corrupted and power crazy politicians. I felt comforted. We are not alone.

All Thai companies and citizens have equal opportunity in business and education. So generally, entrepreneur wannabes can participate openly in almost every sector of the economy without government interference. Except for those businesses hijacked by politicians and their cronies. I comforted him. They are not alone

I have always joked with my Singaporean business friends that Malaysian entrepreneurs are much, much more creative than theirs. We have to be sensitive to additional external issues like religion, race and government/political business units. And only then, we start worrying about our business at hand and our real business competitors.

Singaporean entrepreneurs just have to be hardworking and efficient and they will make a good living. How boring it must be for them.

My good friend from the Philippines has gone through more hardships in his business life than all the other Asean counterparts combined. Political upheavals, natural disasters, warlords, gangsters, corrupted armies and an economically poor consumer population. But he is always wearing a smile on his face and treats each setback as a natural unavoidable event. As a devout Catholic, he feels God is always testing him.

To all those entrepreneur wannabes in Malaysia who are not sure of the type of business that you want to invest in, my advice is to go into a business that is not dominated by GLCs, a business that will not create issues with religion or race, and avoid investing in potentially natural disaster areas.

You will be stupid if you invest in residential and industrial properties in flood-prone areas or near toxic waste plants. God forbid if there is a major flood or an accident in an industrial toxic waste plant, you will be an unlucky owner of properties in a ghost town.

It is important that entrepreneurs understand the political and economic environment that your business operates in. This will greatly reduce the element of luck in your strategic planning and give you more certainty in forecasting the trend. Like my Asean friends have demonstrated, there is always opportunities in adversity or unnatural events.

For those who are looking for business opportunities, the coming 13th General Election is a big pot of gold, just in case you are not aware of it. Media companies are rubbing their hands in glee at the potential additional advertising revenue forthcoming.

Printers of outdoor materials and posters are preparing their raw materials due to short order cycles. Soft-drink and mineral water suppliers are salivating at the sharp spike in consumption. Caterers will make a killing handling all the kenduris. Coffee shops in sleepy towns, hotels and motels are prepared to raise prices at a moment's notice.

Then there is the cash handouts to the general population. Consumption of economic goods will increase substantially. Money supply in the economy will double. The general election is expected to contribute an additional 1% to our GDP growth, a point I am sure that has been accrued in our Economic Transformation Programme.

Malaysian entrepreneurs must learn from our Asean counterparts. See opportunities in adversity. Prepare for natural disasters or unnatural events. Stay calm when your environment is in crisis. Trust your luck. And you will do just fine.

The writer is an entrepreneur who hopes to shares his experience and insights with readers who want to take that giant leap into business but are not sure if they should. Email him at thtan@alliancecosmetics.com

Bank Negara Malaysia lending guideline is a blessing in disguise?

LIVING MATTERS By ANGIE NG

Loans
ENVIRONMENTALISTS and green champions must be applauding the lower number of cars that have been sold since Bank Negara's latest directive to banks to disburse the quantum of household loan based on a borrower's net income instead of gross income.

Since Jan 1, banks have to use net income instead of gross income to calculate the debt service ratio for loans. The guideline covers housing, personal and car loans, credit cards, receivables and loans for the purchase of securities.

The effectiveness of the ruling can be seen in the lower number of vehicles sold in January. At 40,948 units, it was 14% lower than in December 2011 and a 25% drop against January last year.

This goes to show that many of those who previously managed to sign up for new car loans and other types of consumer loans could be grossly over-geared and may have inadequate disposable household income. What's left of one's income after deducting payment for loan servicing, income tax and contribution to the Employees Provident Fund, differs from individual to individual, depending on one's financial commitment.

Don't forget that for many sole breadwinners, they also have to shoulder a host of other payments - spouse and children's household expenses and education fees, pocket money to ageing parents and dependents, and other miscellaneous expenses. The list goes on.

The central bank has good reasons to rein in the rising ratio of household loan to income as the benefits are manifold.

The measure should be applauded as I believe the right policy is the first step to steer people in the right direction of living within their means rather than allowing them to become dependent on debts to maintain their lifestyle.

With the prevailing uncertainties in the world today, it is a good time for families to consolidate their household income and expenses account. And along the way they can point out to their young ones about the virtues of being contented with what they have.

Instead of rushing to place booking for a new car whenever a new model comes out, it is nothing wrong to drive around in an older model as long as the vehicle is road worthy.

Don't forget that our young ones are always watching us, the adults, as their role model. In many ways, they are a mirror of what we are, so it is important for us to watch our thoughts, words and deeds. Remember the saying, “What goes around, comes around.”

As a mother to two teenage girls, I know - even our facial and body language would be scrutinised for “signs” of approval or disapproval. A friend had once vouched that her teenage girl (girls are said to be more mentally discerning) even use telepathy to read her mind - so beware of what goes on in our head when in their presence.

Come to think of it, since less people qualify for loans to buy cars now, it may be an opportune time to revert to cycling or better still, walking.

Cycling and walking are certainly more sustainable modes of moving around, more environmentally friendly and healthier options.

When there are less vehicles on the roads and facilities are provided for pedestrians and cyclists, such as covered walkways and bicycle lanes on roads and highways, the walking and cycling vogue is bound to take off.

Less petrol would be consumed and there would be less pollution from vehicular emissions.

As for the property sector, the net income formula and maximum loan-to-value ratio of 70% for a third and subsequent housing loan taken by a borrower would avert unhealthy speculative activities and rein in sharp jump in property prices.

The lower loan quantum would inadvertently increase demand for affordable housing products and developers would have to redesign their products to cater to this market.

The same maxim applies: If the house is still functional, stay put first. Moving into a newer and trendier place, although is a status symbol, incurs cost and may involve higher loan commitment.

Nevertheless, those with the means and surplus cash to spare can opt to invest in multiple properties as they still offer one of the best hedge against inflation.

Deputy news editor Angie Ng says amid the uncertainties eclipsing the world today, major overhauls need to be made to the way people live, and key to this is to be sustainable.

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Trend of Malaysian moderately-priced houses

Moderately-priced houses in trend

By DAVID TAN davidtan@thestar.com.my

THE trend of developing residential properties priced between RM200,000 and RM400,000 is picking up in Penang, a state where property prices are second highest in the country after Kuala Lumpur.

Tambun Indah Land Bhd, PLB Engineering Bhd, Ideal Property Development Sdn Bhd, and Belleview Group are some of the Penang-based developers with plans to launch moderately priced projects on the island.

With the exception of Belleview, Tambun Indah, PLB, and Ideal Property are taking advantage of the plot ratio guidelines introduced in 2010 which allowed developers to build 87 units per acre, with a total built-up area of 122,000 sq ft per acre and priced at between RM200,000 and RM300,000.
Geh says the demand for houses comes from newly-weds, families and retired couples.

Under the revised guidelines, developers have to allocate 5% of the total units in a development scheme to be priced at RM200,000, 10% to be priced at RM300,000, and 5% not exceeding RM500,000.

Tambun Indah's Straits Garden in Jelutong, PLB's Sungai Nibong Residences and Ideal Property's Valencia Park are the new projects using the revised guidelines.

The layout plans of the projects have been approved and the company is now waiting for the go-ahead for the building-plans.

Previously, the plot ratio guideline for high-rise was 60 units per acre or 42,000 sq ft per acre or 30 units of 1,400 sq ft apartments.

The revised plot ratio guidelines are applicable in areas where it is allowed to develop 30 units per acre and above and in areas designated as commercial/tourism areas under MPPP's structural planning and development control plan.

They are not applicable for prime residential areas such as Jalan Tunku Abdul Rahman (popularly known as Ayer Rajah Road), Jesselton area, existing established housing zones and general housing areas, George Town Heritage Site (which includes the buffer zone), certain areas in Tanjung Bungah and Tanjung Tokong.

Real Estate and Housing Developers' Association (REHDA, Penang) chairman Datuk Jerry Chan said the new plot ratio guidelines for the island was a win-win situation for both the developers and the state government.

Ho says the RM100mil Autumn Tower project does not come under the new guidelines.
“The guidelines make the developers supply affordably priced properties and in return the developers get to better utilise the land for development,” Chan said.

Tambun Indah is proposing to develop a RM180mil high-rise residential project called Straits Garden in Jelutong on a 1.69ha site, the north-east district of the island, with 15% of the total units priced between RM200,000 and RM300,000.

Tambun Indah managing director Teh Kiak Seng said the project's layout plan had been approved and was now waiting for the building-plan approval from the relevant authorities.

“The project located in the heart of the island and would feature modern apartments, office suites and shop lots to meet the demand for commercial and lifestyle properties in the central business district.

“We anticipate to commence development in the fourth quarter of the year. Targeted completion is by the fourth quarter of 2014,” he added.

In Sungai Nibong, which is close to the Penang International Airport, PLB plans to launch the Sungai Nibong Residences, comprising 98 units of medium-cost apartments on an over 0.4ha site.

PLB executive chairman Datuk Ong Choo Hoon said the project has a gross development value (GDV) of RM70mil and was expected to be launched in the third quarter this year.

Some 15% of the total units would be priced between RM200,000 and RM300,000 in accordance with the conditions of the revised plot ratio guidelines.

The lay-out plan of the project had been approved and is now waiting approval for it's building plan.

Ideal Property also plans to launch 788 apartment units called Valencia Park on a 9.1-acre site in Relau, south-west district of the island in September.

Ong says the Sungai Nibong Residences is expected to be launched in Q3.

Ideal Property managing director Datuk Alex Ooi said the project, which had a GDV of RM330mil, comprised apartments with built-up areas of 1,000 sq ft and 1,200 sq ft.

In the past two years, Ideal Property had developed and sold over 500 units of apartments priced between RM300,000 and RM400,000 in the south-west district.

Belleview's RM100mil Autumn Tower project, comprising 220 condominiums at All Seasons Park in Bandar Baru Air Itam, does not come under the new plot ratio guidelines.

“The project is scheduled for launch in May 2012.The pricing for the units ranges between RM350,000 and RM400,000”, said Belleview managing director Datuk Sonny Ho.

Meanwhile Raine & Horne Malaysia director Michael Geh said the sub-sale transactions of high-rise properties priced between RM300,000 and RM400,000 were very active in the south-west district of the island in Relau, Bukit Jambul, Bayan Baru, Bayan Lepas, and Sungai Ara.

“Properties in these locations have been steadily rising at about 10% per annum,” Geh said, adding that there was strong take up for newly-launched properties in the first two months of 2012.

“We observed that the demand came from newly-weds, families that want to upgrade their lifestyle, and retired couples looking for smaller high-rise properties in prime locations,” he said.

In Seberang Prai, Asas Dunia Bhd is undertaking some 1,357 units of landed properties this year with a GDV of RM226.7mil in Central and South Seberang Prai.
Ooi says Valencia Park, comprising apartments, has GDV of RM330mil.
Group managing director Chan said the price ranged between RM120,000 and RM580,000, depending on the type of property and the location.

The properties comprised largely single-storey terraced, single-storey semi-detached, and single-storey bungalow houses.

Over the past two years, the prices of residential properties have increased from 10% to 15% per annum on the island, making properties in the RM200,000 to RM400,000 price range increasingly rare.

Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak had last July launched the first phase of 1Malaysia Peoples' Housing (PR1MA) programme, under which residential properties priced between RM150,000 and RM300,000 would be developed.

PR1MA is specifically for first time house buyers and moderate-income Malaysians earning not more than RM6,000 monthly regardless whether they work with the government, the private sector, or self-employed.

Some 42,000 houses under PR1MA have been identified for 20 sites in the Klang Valley, Rawang and Seremban, and companies like Sime Darby Bhd, SP Setia Bhd and Putrajaya Corp have been invited to participate.

In the last budget announcement, the federal government also raised the ceiling price for first home scheme buyers to RM400,000 from RM220,000 with 100% loan financing and stamp duty exemption to promote home ownership among the middle-income groups.

As Sime Darby owns a large bulk of land bank in Penang via Eastern & Oriental Bhd, the state could be a site for moderately priced housing projects under PR1MA.

Eastern & Oriental Bhd is reclaiming 740 acres for the second phase of the Seri Tanjung Pinang project in Tanjung Tokong to develop two islands for mixed development projects, which will have a GDV of RM12bil.

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